Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | BAY -500 OU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +10 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | BAY -10.6 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -10.5 (-0.5) | 139.5 (+14.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -11.2 (-1.2) | 138.6 (+15.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -10.1 (-0.1) | 142.0 (+12.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -9.7 (+0.3) | 142.5 (+11.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Apr 4, 2026 | OU 82 – 69 BAY |
| Feb 14, 2024 | BAY 79 – 62 OU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | BAY 62 – 60 OU |
| Mar 11, 2022 | OU 72 – 67 BAY |
| Jan 22, 2022 | BAY 65 – 51 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BAY | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 67.5 |
| Massey | 15.5 (#10) | 8.6 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.83 (#12) | 1.47 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.51 (#10) | 2.21 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.623 (#16) | 0.553 (#86) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BAY | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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