Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | BAY -122 OU +102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OU +13 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | BAY -0.4 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.8 (-9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -0.3 (-12.7) | 155.5 (-4.5) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -0.6 (-12.4) | 154.9 (-3.9) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -0.8 (-12.2) | 153.8 (-2.8) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OU -0.6 (-12.4) | 156.1 (-5.1) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2024 | BAY 79 – 62 OU |
| Feb 9, 2023 | BAY 82 – 72 OU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | BAY 62 – 60 OU |
| Mar 11, 2022 | OU 72 – 67 BAY |
| Jan 22, 2022 | BAY 65 – 51 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BAY | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 21-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-6 | 11-5 |
| Away | 3-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 82.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 77.4 |
| Massey | 12.9 (#43) | 12.5 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#60) | 2.05 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.26 (#57) | 2.70 (#45) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#107) | 0.528 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BAY | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 37.0% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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