Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | BAY -275 OU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +17 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | BAY -6.7 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -6.0 (+11.0) | 149.3 (-8.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -6.9 (+10.1) | 146.3 (-5.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -5.7 (+11.3) | 147.2 (-6.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -5.2 (+11.8) | 147.4 (-6.4) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Apr 4, 2026 | OU 82 – 69 BAY |
| Feb 9, 2023 | BAY 82 – 72 OU |
| Jan 21, 2023 | BAY 62 – 60 OU |
| Mar 11, 2022 | OU 72 – 67 BAY |
| Jan 22, 2022 | BAY 65 – 51 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BAY | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-2 | 14-4 |
| Away | 4-5 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 16.8 (#11) | 13.5 (#23) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#26) | 2.15 (#32) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.90 (#21) | 2.71 (#28) |
| RPI | 0.610 (#22) | 0.584 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BAY | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 40.7% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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