Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | OU +115 BAY -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +2 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | BAY -1.2 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-23.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -0.5 (-1.5) | 139.9 (-17.9) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -0.4 (-1.6) | 145.5 (-23.5) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -0.2 (-1.8) | 146.5 (-24.5) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OU -0.1 (-2.1) | 143.6 (-21.6) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Apr 4, 2026 | OU 82 – 69 BAY |
| Feb 14, 2024 | BAY 79 – 62 OU |
| Feb 9, 2023 | BAY 82 – 72 OU |
| Mar 11, 2022 | OU 72 – 67 BAY |
| Jan 22, 2022 | BAY 65 – 51 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OU | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-7 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-8 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#55) | 14.3 (#13) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#62) | 2.54 (#19) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.21 (#53) | 3.29 (#17) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#68) | 0.606 (#25) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OU | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.1 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 36.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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