Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | MORE -700 SIUE +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +3 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -11.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (+14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -11.9 (-8.9) | 138.4 (+12.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -10.5 (-7.5) | 138.9 (+12.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -10.6 (-7.6) | 139.2 (+11.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -11.0 (-8.0) | 137.7 (+13.3) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | MORE 67 – 65 SIUE |
| Jan 3, 2026 | MORE 73 – 72 SIUE |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SIUE 80 – 62 MORE |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SIUE 65 – 54 MORE |
| Mar 8, 2024 | MORE 78 – 63 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 5-13 |
| Home | 12-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 8-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#124) | -4.9 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.42 (#74) | -1.20 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#81) | -1.67 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#84) | 0.446 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | SIUE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 26.7% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 23.0% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.4% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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