Betting Lines
| Spread | PFW -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PFW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PFW +24 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | PFW -7.2 (+16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (+4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PFW -6.1 (+17.9) | 141.0 (+7.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PFW -5.0 (+19.0) | 141.3 (+6.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PFW -5.2 (+18.8) | 141.8 (+6.2) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PFW -5.6 (+18.4) | 141.6 (+6.4) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | PFW 83 – 71 RMU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | PFW 79 – 74 RMU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | RMU 76 – 69 PFW |
| Dec 8, 2024 | PFW 82 – 77 RMU |
| Mar 6, 2024 | PFW 78 – 63 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PFW | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 15-6 | 5-16 |
| Home | 14-2 | 4-10 |
| Away | 6-7 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#273) | -9.7 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#256) | -2.85 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#269) | -3.24 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#274) | 0.405 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PFW | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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