Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +3 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -6.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (-22.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -6.1 (-3.1) | 143.9 (-18.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -5.5 (-2.5) | 146.7 (-21.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -5.5 (-2.5) | 147.4 (-22.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -5.7 (-2.7) | 147.8 (-22.8) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | YSU 106 – 82 CLE |
| Jan 17, 2026 | CLE 80 – 78 YSU |
| Mar 11, 2025 | YSU 56 – 54 CLE |
| Feb 16, 2025 | YSU 68 – 60 CLE |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CLE 80 – 72 YSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 15-6 | 12-9 |
| Home | 15-3 | 13-7 |
| Away | 5-7 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#181) | -3.8 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#127) | -1.08 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#134) | -1.23 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#126) | 0.442 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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