Betting Lines
| Spread | UMES -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UMES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +9 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | UMES -10.8 (-19.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMES -8.6 (-17.6) | 143.7 (-14.7) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMES -8.5 (-17.5) | 144.4 (-15.4) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UMES -8.6 (-17.6) | 143.4 (-14.4) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMES -8.6 (-17.6) | 145.6 (-16.6) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UMES 69 – 57 SCST |
| Feb 5, 2026 | SCST 63 – 54 UMES |
| Feb 25, 2025 | SCST 81 – 68 UMES |
| Jan 14, 2025 | SCST 78 – 64 UMES |
| Feb 27, 2024 | SCST 64 – 56 UMES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UMES | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-16 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 7-7 |
| Home | 6-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-11 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.8 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#250) | -11.5 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#239) | -1.85 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.40 (#271) | -2.79 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#191) | 0.383 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UMES | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 43.5% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 16.9% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.