Betting Lines
| Spread | WAG -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +7 | 177 | Lost |
| Massey | WAG -7.1 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (+32.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -4.7 (-2.3) | 144.2 (+32.8) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAG -5.4 (-1.6) | 145.5 (+31.5) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAG -5.7 (-1.3) | 146.8 (+30.2) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -6.2 (-0.8) | 146.8 (+30.2) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | LIU 64 – 56 WAG |
| Feb 17, 2026 | LIU 83 – 65 WAG |
| Feb 13, 2026 | LIU 67 – 57 WAG |
| Feb 28, 2025 | LIU 60 – 47 WAG |
| Feb 7, 2025 | LIU 60 – 47 WAG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 21-6 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 15-3 |
| Home | 12-1 | 13-1 |
| Away | 4-13 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#246) | 6.5 (#84) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#277) | 1.99 (#47) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#265) | 2.41 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#241) | 0.535 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 26.3% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.