Betting Lines
| Spread | NOLA -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NOLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +8 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | NOLA -10.9 (-2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.5 (+7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NOLA -9.3 (-1.3) | 154.8 (+7.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NOLA -9.7 (-1.7) | 153.5 (+8.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NOLA -9.7 (-1.7) | 155.6 (+6.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NOLA -9.3 (-1.3) | 154.5 (+7.5) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | NOLA 75 – 64 NWST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NWST 74 – 68 NOLA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NWST 73 – 66 NOLA |
| Jan 20, 2025 | NWST 73 – 61 NOLA |
| Feb 13, 2024 | NWST 70 – 59 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NOLA | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 5-9 |
| Home | 12-2 | 6-6 |
| Away | 3-10 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 82.6 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#270) | -13.3 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#253) | -2.68 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#249) | -3.21 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#306) | 0.435 (#291) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NOLA | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 14.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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