Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | URI -1600 GW +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +2 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | URI -17.5 (-19.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.5 (-6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -12.7 (-14.7) | 134.6 (-10.6) | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -14.5 (-16.5) | 135.4 (-11.4) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -13.9 (-15.9) | 135.2 (-11.2) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | URI -13.7 (-15.7) | 134.6 (-10.6) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | GW 75 – 70 URI |
| Jan 9, 2025 | GW 75 – 67 URI |
| Feb 7, 2024 | URI 88 – 65 GW |
| Feb 23, 2023 | GW 89 – 80 URI |
| Feb 19, 2022 | GW 72 – 61 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 12-18 |
| Conference | 5-12 | 8-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-9 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.3 | 72.8 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#79) | -7.2 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#101) | -1.26 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#89) | -1.63 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.575 (#59) | 0.425 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 14.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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