Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | GW -300 URI +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +23 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | GW -6.5 (-29.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.0 (-10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -4.9 (-27.9) | 154.7 (-1.7) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -4.0 (-27.0) | 155.0 (-2.0) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -4.9 (-27.9) | 156.2 (-3.2) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GW -5.1 (-28.1) | 155.0 (-2.0) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | GW 75 – 70 URI |
| Jan 9, 2025 | GW 75 – 67 URI |
| Feb 23, 2023 | GW 89 – 80 URI |
| Feb 19, 2022 | GW 72 – 61 URI |
| Jan 22, 2022 | GW 63 – 61 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-6 | 9-8 |
| Away | 1-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 76.9 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#156) | -2.7 (#215) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#124) | -0.05 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#138) | -0.04 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#139) | 0.508 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 12.6% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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