Betting Lines
| Spread | GW -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | GW -238 URI +195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +5 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | GW -7.8 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (-6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GW -5.0 (-0.0) | 146.9 (-1.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GW -5.7 (-0.7) | 145.6 (-0.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GW -5.1 (-0.1) | 146.7 (-1.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GW -5.0 (-0.0) | 147.7 (-2.7) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2025 | GW 75 – 67 URI |
| Feb 7, 2024 | URI 88 – 65 GW |
| Feb 23, 2023 | GW 89 – 80 URI |
| Feb 19, 2022 | GW 72 – 61 URI |
| Jan 22, 2022 | GW 63 – 61 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-4 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#73) | 3.5 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#159) | 0.61 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#146) | 0.88 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#135) | 0.523 (#124) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 29.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 30.2% |
Game Analysis
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