Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +11 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | URI -4.8 (+15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -3.4 (+14.4) | 133.3 (-0.3) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -2.1 (+13.1) | 135.7 (-2.7) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | URI -2.6 (+13.6) | 137.1 (-4.1) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -2.3 (+13.3) | 136.0 (-3.0) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | GW 75 – 70 URI |
| Jan 9, 2025 | GW 75 – 67 URI |
| Feb 7, 2024 | URI 88 – 65 GW |
| Feb 23, 2023 | GW 89 – 80 URI |
| Jan 22, 2022 | GW 63 – 61 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GW | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 8-9 | 5-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-10 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.8 | 65.3 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#233) | 4.0 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#210) | 0.13 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#216) | 0.46 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#212) | 0.510 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GW | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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