Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | URI -138 GW +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +9 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | URI -3.1 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (+20.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -1.6 (-10.6) | 146.5 (+22.5) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -1.2 (-10.2) | 144.0 (+25.0) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -1.9 (-10.9) | 145.3 (+23.7) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | URI -2.3 (-11.3) | 146.5 (+22.5) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | GW 75 – 70 URI |
| Jan 9, 2025 | GW 75 – 67 URI |
| Feb 7, 2024 | URI 88 – 65 GW |
| Feb 19, 2022 | GW 72 – 61 URI |
| Jan 22, 2022 | GW 63 – 61 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-9 | 11-6 |
| Away | 1-10 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#227) | -3.1 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#256) | -0.32 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#256) | -0.58 (#229) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#257) | 0.483 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.0% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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