Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | URI -260 GW +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GW +8 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | URI -8.5 (-16.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -4.6 (-12.6) | 148.6 (-6.6) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -6.2 (-14.2) | 145.5 (-3.5) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | URI -6.6 (-14.6) | 144.2 (-2.2) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -6.5 (-14.5) | 146.1 (-4.1) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | GW 75 – 70 URI |
| Feb 7, 2024 | URI 88 – 65 GW |
| Feb 23, 2023 | GW 89 – 80 URI |
| Feb 19, 2022 | GW 72 – 61 URI |
| Jan 22, 2022 | GW 63 – 61 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | GW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 13-4 |
| Away | 1-9 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#80) | 2.3 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#68) | 0.55 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.70 (#77) | 0.80 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.612 (#32) | 0.510 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | GW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 32.6% | 31.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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