Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +7 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -12.3 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (-6.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -10.6 (+3.6) | 139.1 (-10.1) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -11.5 (+4.5) | 138.9 (-9.9) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -10.2 (+3.2) | 140.6 (-11.6) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -12.1 (+5.1) | 138.7 (-9.7) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | GB 73 – 68 OAK |
| Jan 18, 2026 | OAK 88 – 63 GB |
| Mar 5, 2025 | OAK 96 – 72 GB |
| Mar 2, 2025 | OAK 87 – 84 GB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | OAK 68 – 54 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 12-7 |
| Home | 4-9 | 10-3 |
| Away | 1-13 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.2 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -10.3 (#327) | 5.5 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.87 (#346) | 1.78 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.40 (#343) | 2.00 (#62) |
| RPI | 0.363 (#349) | 0.600 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 26.8% | 29.2% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 15.2% |
Game Analysis
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