Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +11 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -8.6 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.4 (-24.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -7.1 (+3.9) | 151.3 (-20.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -8.9 (+2.1) | 153.3 (-22.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -9.1 (+1.9) | 152.7 (-21.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -8.3 (+2.7) | 154.6 (-23.6) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 9, 2022 | FAU 90 – 77 MRSH |
Game Analysis
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