Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +13 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | MRSH -3.7 (-16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (+11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -3.3 (-16.3) | 147.6 (+19.4) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -2.2 (-15.2) | 150.0 (+17.0) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -3.1 (-16.1) | 149.9 (+17.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -3.0 (-16.0) | 148.9 (+18.1) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2022 | FAU 71 – 60 MRSH |
Game Analysis
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