Betting Lines
| Spread | MAN -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MAN +7 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | MAN -5.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MAN -2.5 (+4.5) | 140.9 (+2.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MAN -3.5 (+3.5) | 142.7 (+0.3) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MAN -3.8 (+3.2) | 143.7 (-0.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MAN -3.3 (+3.7) | 142.7 (+0.3) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | SIE 74 – 59 MAN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | MAN 78 – 66 SIE |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SIE 103 – 95 MAN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MAN 70 – 68 SIE |
| Feb 11, 2024 | SIE 68 – 63 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 15-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-9 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 69.2 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#259) | -6.7 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#173) | -0.36 (#203) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#212) | -0.78 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#188) | 0.485 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 34.2% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.