Betting Lines
| Spread | NCAT -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCAT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAM +1 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | NCAT -0.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.9 (+16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAM -0.5 (-0.5) | 128.3 (+16.7) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCAT -1.7 (-2.7) | 131.4 (+13.6) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NCAT -0.8 (-1.8) | 132.3 (+12.7) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCAT -0.3 (-1.3) | 130.4 (+14.6) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | CAM 90 – 72 NCAT |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CAM 79 – 71 NCAT |
| Feb 21, 2025 | NCAT 53 – 50 CAM |
| Feb 11, 2025 | CAM 66 – 62 NCAT |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CAM 64 – 62 NCAT |
Game Analysis
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