Betting Lines
| Spread | BUF -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BUF +13 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | BUF -8.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (-27.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BUF -6.6 (+6.4) | 140.9 (-25.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BUF -5.1 (+7.9) | 144.0 (-29.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BUF -5.4 (+7.6) | 145.1 (-30.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BUF -5.2 (+7.8) | 142.3 (-27.3) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2026 | KENT 87 – 81 BUF |
| Jan 10, 2025 | KENT 68 – 49 BUF |
| Feb 28, 2024 | KENT 76 – 64 BUF |
| Feb 2, 2024 | KENT 83 – 52 BUF |
| Feb 10, 2023 | KENT 72 – 65 BUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUF | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-11 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 13-6 | 16-4 |
| Home | 9-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 9-5 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.7 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 66.8 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#118) | -1.3 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#158) | -0.10 (#185) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#131) | -0.03 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#157) | 0.504 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUF | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 27.7% |
| REB / G | 40.5 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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