Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +16 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | BRY -0.4 (-15.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.2 (+10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -2.0 (-14.0) | 136.1 (+5.9) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -1.6 (-14.4) | 136.0 (+6.0) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -0.8 (-15.2) | 138.0 (+4.0) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -1.0 (-15.0) | 135.9 (+6.1) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2022 | BRY 76 – 67 MRMK |
| Feb 21, 2021 | BRY 76 – 60 MRMK |
| Feb 20, 2021 | BRY 60 – 58 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 16-2 |
| Home | 7-7 | 14-1 |
| Away | 8-9 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 58.9 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#307) | -4.6 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#305) | -0.85 (#247) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.18 (#309) | -0.89 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#299) | 0.466 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 26.9 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 20.9% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.9% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 63.3% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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