Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +9 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -9.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (+10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -10.2 (-1.2) | 135.3 (+7.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -9.3 (-0.3) | 135.2 (+7.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -8.3 (+0.7) | 134.8 (+8.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -7.8 (+1.2) | 136.0 (+7.0) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2022 | BRY 79 – 63 MRMK |
| Feb 21, 2021 | BRY 76 – 60 MRMK |
| Feb 20, 2021 | BRY 60 – 58 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-1 | 7-7 |
| Away | 8-7 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 58.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 62.8 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#240) | -9.6 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#235) | -1.78 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#226) | -2.31 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#206) | 0.426 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 27.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 23.5% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 62.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.1% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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