The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
Merrimack Warriors
60 – 76
FINAL Conference
Bryant Bulldogs
Northeast Conference · Hammel Court · February 21, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread BRY -1.5 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money MRMK +110 / BRY -110
Model Predictions
Spread Total MRMK win
Actual BRY +16 136 Lost
Massey BRY -2.6 (-13.4) — —
Massey Totals — 144.3 (-8.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 48% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 40% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MRMK -0.2 (-16.2) 143.7 (-7.7) 46% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BRY -0.9 (-15.1) 141.8 (-5.8) 48% ✓
Baseline ML BRY -0.4 (-15.6) 143.0 (-7.0) 34% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BRY -1.1 (-14.9) 143.6 (-7.6) 44% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 28, 2022 BRY 76 – 67 MRMK
Jan 22, 2022 BRY 79 – 63 MRMK
Feb 20, 2021 BRY 60 – 58 MRMK

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MRMK BRY
Overall 9-9 15-7
Conference 9-9 10-4
Home 6-3 10-1
Away 3-6 5-5
Neutral 0-0 0-1
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 66.3 81.2
Avg Pts Against 66.7 75.3
Massey -2.1 (#195) 2.9 (#126)
Bradley-Terry 0.15 (#159) 0.64 (#123)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.02 (#165) 0.88 (#118)
RPI 0.507 (#156) 0.567 (#60)
Shooting & Four Factors MRMK BRY
FG% 44.6% 45.6%
3PT% 30.9% 38.5%
REB / G 32.4 39.7
OREB / G 7.2 10.4
AST / TO 0.94 0.96
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.0% 53.8%
TOV% 19.3% 21.1%
ORB% 21.4% 28.5%
FT Rate 18.3% 26.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.8% 46.9%
Opp TOV% 22.6% 18.1%
DRB% 71.1% 68.3%
Opp FT Rate 21.3% 18.6%

Game Analysis

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