Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | BRY -200 MRMK +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +2 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -8.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (-30.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -5.3 (-3.3) | 143.6 (-25.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -5.6 (-3.6) | 147.5 (-29.5) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -5.6 (-3.6) | 147.4 (-29.4) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -4.2 (-2.2) | 144.9 (-26.9) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2022 | BRY 76 – 67 MRMK |
| Jan 22, 2022 | BRY 79 – 63 MRMK |
| Feb 21, 2021 | BRY 76 – 60 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-7 | 9-9 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-1 | 6-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.2 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#124) | -2.5 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#141) | 0.36 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#123) | 0.16 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.547 (#88) | 0.505 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 20.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.9% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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