Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MCN +10 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | MCN -3.8 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MCN -3.8 (-6.2) | 143.4 (+10.6) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -4.4 (-5.6) | 142.2 (+11.8) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -4.3 (-5.7) | 142.7 (+11.3) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -4.0 (-6.0) | 144.3 (+9.7) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MCN 81 – 64 UIW |
| Dec 2, 2025 | UIW 71 – 67 MCN |
| Feb 4, 2025 | MCN 67 – 65 UIW |
| Feb 24, 2024 | MCN 87 – 71 UIW |
| Jan 20, 2024 | MCN 80 – 66 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 4-10 |
| Home | 5-10 | 6-5 |
| Away | 1-11 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 80.2 |
| Massey | -14.9 (#350) | -7.5 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.24 (#351) | -1.55 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.68 (#346) | -1.84 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#318) | 0.446 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 28.4 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 20.7% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.7% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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