Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +8 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | UNLV -13.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNLV -11.5 (-3.5) | 140.0 (-8.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNLV -10.8 (-2.8) | 137.3 (-5.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -12.7 (-4.7) | 137.6 (-5.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNLV -11.8 (-3.8) | 137.2 (-5.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | UNLV 82 – 75 SJSU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UNLV 76 – 62 SJSU |
| Feb 26, 2025 | UNLV 77 – 71 SJSU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UNLV 79 – 73 SJSU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | UNLV 68 – 50 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 1-17 |
| Home | 14-4 | 7-9 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 62.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#122) | -6.5 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#139) | -0.22 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#117) | -0.54 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#138) | 0.494 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 14.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 16.9% |
Game Analysis
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