Hop in my Chrysler, it's as big as a whale and it's about to set sail. "Love Shack" - The B-52's
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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85–41 on winners spread MAE 8.7 126 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
VCU @ Saint Joseph's +0.4 143.3 50% 78–69 ✗
Providence @ Villanova +8.5 144.8 81% 73–75 ✓
Robert Morris @ Green Bay -4.2 145.6 32% 89–67 ✓
Indiana @ Ohio State +7.9 151.4 78% 77–76 ✗
DePaul @ Georgetown +7.3 141.0 81% 73–68 ✗
Youngstown State @ Milwaukee +5.3 139.8 68% 64–79 ✓
Iowa @ UCLA +4.3 148.5 70% 70–94 ✓
Air Force @ Fresno State +2.6 140.0 56% 65–74 ✓
Boise State @ New Mexico +2.5 149.4 68% 65–84 ✓
Alabama @ Kentucky +3.2 182.6 56% 102–97 ✗
Houston @ UCF -11.7 138.1 16% 69–68 ✓
Creighton @ UConn +6.6 146.5 77% 68–63 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Florida State +9.9 146.4 82% 78–91 ✓
Virginia @ Louisville +14.4 131.2 88% 67–81 ✓
Clemson @ Pittsburgh +5.1 141.3 72% 78–75 ✗
Boston University @ Army +2.2 132.4 61% 62–68 ✓
George Washington @ George Mason +7.7 133.0 76% 77–80 ✓
Auburn @ Georgia -6.5 144.1 24% 70–68 ✓
Kansas State @ Kansas +18.0 137.8 89% 74–84 ✓
American University @ Holy Cross +0.6 138.0 51% 74–65 ✗
Colgate @ Lafayette +0.5 133.0 43% 90–67 ✗
Mercyhurst @ Wagner +2.8 126.0 54% 69–65 ✗
Maine @ UMBC -0.0 146.3 47% 87–62 ✓
Oakland @ Detroit Mercy -5.3 133.6 27% 65–59 ✓
VMI @ The Citadel -2.7 132.7 29% 75–70 ✓
Buffalo @ Western Michigan +6.8 148.9 74% 85–76 ✗
Xavier @ Marquette +10.2 147.7 82% 59–57 ✗
Winthrop @ UNC Asheville +0.9 164.0 67% 84–93 ✓
Radford @ Charleston Southern -3.4 144.5 37% 54–58 ✗
Niagara @ Manhattan +3.4 145.7 64% 65–72 ✓
Arizona State @ Cincinnati +5.1 129.9 69% 60–67 ✓
Arizona @ Texas Tech +2.2 153.4 67% 54–70 ✓
SMU @ Miami -9.7 157.9 20% 117–74 ✓
Wake Forest @ Virginia Tech -2.7 136.4 34% 72–63 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Duquesne -3.2 132.6 33% 57–75 ✗
Davidson @ Rhode Island +4.3 142.8 69% 90–92 ✓
Belmont @ Evansville -4.9 140.3 26% 85–82 ✓
Saint Francis @ Long Island University +4.6 134.5 64% 51–64 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Lehigh +2.6 139.1 61% 76–60 ✗
Yale @ Columbia -4.0 152.8 31% 92–88 ✓
Harvard @ Brown +3.6 138.2 59% 80–67 ✗
Cornell @ Pennsylvania -7.9 151.7 17% 86–76 ✓
Princeton @ Dartmouth -3.7 149.0 34% 81–80 ✓
UAlbany @ Binghamton +0.3 144.5 48% 70–65 ✗
Wright State @ Northern Kentucky +0.4 139.7 49% 78–70 ✗
Elon @ Delaware -0.9 147.6 39% 77–79 ✗
Monmouth @ Campbell +2.4 132.8 60% 58–81 ✓
Stony Brook @ Towson +10.4 135.4 85% 49–53 ✓
North Alabama @ North Florida -2.0 158.2 37% 90–84 ✓
Queens University @ Florida Gulf Coast +4.1 149.5 67% 47–60 ✓
Kansas City @ North Dakota -0.5 143.3 51% 72–76 ✗
Toledo @ Ball State +1.7 151.3 52% 93–75 ✗
Eastern Michigan @ Bowling Green +3.8 150.4 69% 68–62 ✗
Central Michigan @ Northern Illinois -10.3 137.5 17% 71–66 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Sacred Heart +0.5 132.7 47% 66–61 ✗
Canisius @ Fairfield +7.2 140.6 76% 78–67 ✗
UTEP @ Florida International -1.4 142.1 39% 81–73 ✓
Stanford @ North Carolina +10.9 151.8 84% 72–71 ✗
Le Moyne @ Chicago State -2.3 140.0 36% 72–88 ✗
Saint Louis @ Richmond -2.4 137.7 37% 63–59 ✓
Purdue @ Oregon +1.0 144.3 43% 65–58 ✗
Wisconsin @ USC -1.6 148.6 43% 84–69 ✓
Colorado @ Oklahoma State +0.2 139.4 54% 73–83 ✓
Tulsa @ South Florida +8.6 148.0 82% 56–63 ✓
New Hampshire @ NJIT +1.1 128.7 65% 59–64 ✓
Louisiana @ UL Monroe -0.4 140.7 40% 65–60 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Jacksonville +12.5 139.1 85% 62–72 ✓
North Dakota State @ South Dakota -4.0 166.4 40% 103–77 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Western Carolina -13.1 136.9 15% 83–55 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Kent State +1.4 140.7 48% 70–61 ✗
Siena @ Merrimack +4.2 134.2 67% 58–64 ✓
Tennessee @ Vanderbilt -3.6 136.5 52% 75–76 ✗
Georgia State @ Arkansas State +13.7 148.7 87% 59–85 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Old Dominion +0.9 144.6 53% 67–63 ✗
Lindenwood @ Morehead State +4.9 135.0 64% 65–82 ✓
New Orleans @ East Texas A&M +2.0 140.8 57% 82–73 ✗
Marshall @ Coastal Carolina -2.2 138.8 42% 77–64 ✓
Texas @ Florida +11.4 151.1 84% 60–84 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Gardner-Webb +9.3 154.6 84% 68–97 ✓
North Texas @ UTSA -7.1 137.5 18% 72–57 ✓
Notre Dame @ Syracuse -2.0 147.1 45% 69–77 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ Dayton +10.4 143.4 83% 81–83 ✓
UIC @ Valparaiso -0.2 152.8 50% 81–74 ✓
Bradley @ Murray State -1.5 142.4 37% 74–61 ✓
Colorado State @ Wyoming -3.7 134.0 36% 79–63 ✓
West Georgia @ Stetson +0.2 146.9 47% 78–82 ✓
Navy @ Bucknell +5.2 139.5 68% 69–73 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Fairleigh Dickinson -3.6 136.9 35% 71–60 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Bryant +3.6 155.6 63% 62–85 ✓
App State @ James Madison +1.4 133.7 56% 58–50 ✗
Troy @ South Alabama +4.2 132.2 70% 63–64 ✓
UC Davis @ UC Santa Barbara +8.0 130.3 78% 64–60 ✗
South Carolina @ Oklahoma +6.7 141.4 74% 62–82 ✓
Utah Tech @ Utah Valley +10.7 139.0 85% 80–96 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Mount St. Mary's +1.6 135.9 59% 91–57 ✗
Little Rock @ Tennessee Tech -0.0 133.4 47% 77–71 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Nicholls +5.1 133.8 73% 61–73 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Houston Christian -2.2 140.9 39% 57–66 ✗
Western Illinois @ Southern Indiana +3.4 134.1 57% 66–78 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ UT Martin -0.2 133.8 54% 82–85 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Tennessee State +4.7 142.6 66% 65–84 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Northwestern State +0.3 136.1 50% 65–64 ✗
Iowa State @ West Virginia -3.0 136.8 51% 57–64 ✗
Missouri State @ Illinois State +9.4 139.7 84% 68–74 ✓
Lamar @ McNeese +12.9 135.7 87% 64–75 ✓
Southern Miss @ Texas State +8.3 149.1 80% 82–85 ✓
Northeastern @ Charleston +6.6 144.1 77% 85–87 ✓
Chattanooga @ Furman +5.6 148.0 72% 75–71 ✗
Sam Houston @ Jacksonville State +5.1 150.3 68% 62–70 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Kennesaw State +0.1 142.9 50% 76–78 ✓
Oral Roberts @ South Dakota State +16.3 159.3 90% 70–84 ✓
Jackson State @ Prairie View A&M -0.2 149.8 46% 79–70 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Bethune-Cookman +21.7 132.0 90% 58–83 ✓
Alabama State @ Alabama A&M -7.4 151.4 25% 69–65 ✓
Ole Miss @ Mississippi State +3.4 144.5 67% 81–84 ✓
California @ NC State +5.5 141.8 71% 65–62 ✗
Drake @ Indiana State -7.8 140.8 18% 71–53 ✓
San José State @ Nevada +10.9 139.3 85% 64–75 ✓
Grambling @ Southern +10.1 134.1 80% 60–67 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Incarnate Word -2.5 147.4 37% 69–63 ✓
Arkansas @ Missouri +6.3 146.3 78% 65–83 ✓
Portland @ Washington State +16.8 154.4 89% 70–92 ✓
Mercer @ Wofford +7.8 149.8 77% 49–69 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Samford +6.3 152.1 74% 65–60 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Florida A&M +9.5 154.1 86% 76–86 ✓
Alcorn State @ Texas Southern +3.6 137.3 67% 57–66 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.