This dance ain't for everybody. Only the sexy people. "Push It" - Salt-n-Pepa
← All models

Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
84–39 on winners spread MAE 8.2 123 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Princeton @ Brown -0.5 150.0 44% 69–50 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Yale +4.6 143.9 71% 72–81 ✓
Cornell @ Dartmouth -0.9 147.6 46% 59–71 ✗
Columbia @ Harvard +12.5 144.0 88% 54–62 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Detroit Mercy +0.9 142.3 56% 52–60 ✓
Richmond @ VCU +5.0 136.2 70% 57–77 ✓
Marist @ Siena -0.4 136.5 49% 62–53 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Fairfield +0.2 133.2 52% 70–59 ✗
Rider @ Monmouth +9.7 138.0 84% 58–60 ✓
Ohio @ Kent State +0.8 139.2 51% 52–75 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Green Bay -5.2 135.0 22% 74–55 ✓
Cleveland State @ Milwaukee -6.8 145.4 23% 78–61 ✓
Wright State @ Oakland +5.5 147.6 73% 78–74 ✗
Maryland @ Nebraska -2.3 151.7 38% 90–74 ✓
Missouri @ Mississippi State +11.5 136.3 84% 49–68 ✓
TCU @ Baylor +11.7 140.7 87% 62–72 ✓
Illinois @ Michigan State +2.1 140.1 60% 79–74 ✗
Xavier @ UConn +5.9 142.9 75% 61–72 ✓
Tulsa @ South Florida -0.7 129.4 44% 65–57 ✓
Holy Cross @ Navy +14.2 129.3 85% 55–50 ✗
Boston College @ Syracuse +11.2 150.2 83% 56–76 ✓
UMBC @ Vermont +13.3 145.8 87% 59–86 ✓
La Salle @ Massachusetts +5.1 152.8 72% 74–80 ✓
Wofford @ Furman +5.7 143.1 74% 69–70 ✓
Texas Tech @ Texas +1.1 131.9 52% 61–55 ✗
Alabama @ Kentucky +9.5 159.7 83% 81–90 ✓
UTEP @ Southern Miss -8.0 140.4 18% 84–70 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Wagner +15.6 135.6 89% 68–78 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Bryant +11.5 156.9 86% 93–105 ✓
Notre Dame @ Wake Forest +5.9 144.6 76% 74–79 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Indiana State -0.4 131.2 47% 76–72 ✓
Dayton @ Saint Joseph's -5.7 136.3 25% 74–62 ✓
East Tennessee State @ The Citadel +0.4 155.6 49% 77–67 ✗
Niagara @ Canisius -0.5 141.3 50% 65–54 ✓
Ole Miss @ Georgia -3.3 147.5 28% 85–68 ✓
Boston University @ Colgate +5.3 147.7 76% 53–72 ✓
Auburn @ Florida -2.9 144.7 42% 62–63 ✗
Morgan State @ Howard +8.8 148.8 82% 66–68 ✓
Army @ American University -2.5 137.0 44% 67–83 ✗
High Point @ Radford +0.4 132.5 48% 64–66 ✓
Kansas State @ Oklahoma State +3.6 137.3 66% 79–82 ✓
Oklahoma @ Iowa State +2.0 130.0 63% 54–75 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Youngstown State +15.6 131.1 88% 61–74 ✓
Valparaiso @ Evansville -2.7 133.5 40% 72–56 ✓
Illinois State @ Bradley +10.8 144.7 84% 64–72 ✓
Oral Roberts @ North Dakota -10.0 159.5 17% 87–73 ✓
Kansas City @ North Dakota State +5.0 143.8 71% 85–71 ✗
Mercer @ Western Carolina -2.8 145.6 41% 65–69 ✗
Northeastern @ Hofstra +12.6 145.9 88% 73–76 ✓
Iowa @ Ohio State +3.9 156.7 67% 75–62 ✗
Tarleton State @ Chicago State -7.3 133.7 25% 79–60 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Merrimack +6.1 134.7 69% 79–80 ✓
Clemson @ Louisville +0.4 144.0 49% 61–70 ✓
Arkansas State @ UT Arlington +0.7 138.8 52% 58–49 ✗
Georgia State @ Georgia Southern -0.4 133.1 43% 58–49 ✓
St. Thomas @ South Dakota State +18.6 155.4 90% 60–79 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Samford +0.6 140.1 53% 49–55 ✓
Akron @ Eastern Michigan -4.1 140.3 33% 67–48 ✓
Saint Louis @ Davidson +2.7 146.6 68% 58–79 ✓
LSU @ South Carolina -5.7 140.4 34% 75–77 ✗
Tennessee @ Arkansas +0.9 144.9 58% 48–58 ✓
Air Force @ Wyoming +16.9 133.6 89% 67–75 ✓
Lafayette @ Bucknell -0.0 145.3 49% 89–92 ✗
Alabama A&M @ Bethune-Cookman +2.6 128.4 55% 62–60 ✗
Hawai'i @ UC Irvine +5.6 128.2 71% 52–77 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Morehead State +11.3 146.4 84% 92–84 ✗
Eastern Illinois @ Tennessee State +9.8 132.0 87% 49–63 ✓
Jackson State @ Alcorn State +2.8 130.4 54% 60–61 ✓
North Texas @ UAB +5.8 132.3 61% 58–57 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Florida Atlantic +3.1 145.1 65% 87–79 ✗
Montana State @ Southern Utah +0.6 152.4 49% 76–71 ✗
Houston Christian @ Nicholls +11.8 148.8 87% 70–84 ✓
California Baptist @ Seattle U +8.1 143.3 81% 64–67 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Lamar -13.7 143.6 13% 70–56 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Saint Francis +0.2 136.7 49% 80–72 ✗
Long Island University @ Mount St. Mary's +0.3 141.7 45% 66–61 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ Presbyterian -2.3 132.0 32% 76–68 ✓
North Carolina @ Virginia Tech +5.4 146.0 74% 65–57 ✗
New Hampshire @ UAlbany +1.0 129.2 58% 65–70 ✓
Troy @ Coastal Carolina +2.5 136.4 64% 63–73 ✓
VMI @ Chattanooga +10.2 147.7 83% 80–75 ✗
Drexel @ Elon -5.2 139.7 32% 71–60 ✓
Delaware @ William & Mary -10.8 142.0 17% 73–69 ✓
Towson @ Charleston -3.3 145.3 30% 80–77 ✓
Western Michigan @ Buffalo +17.5 148.9 90% 73–87 ✓
Northwestern @ Minnesota -1.4 137.3 50% 60–77 ✗
Delaware State @ North Carolina Central +13.5 137.7 88% 79–84 ✓
Alabama State @ Florida A&M +3.0 137.4 59% 83–86 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ South Carolina State +0.3 136.7 50% 63–70 ✓
Murray State @ UT Martin -13.0 138.8 13% 62–60 ✓
Winthrop @ UNC Asheville +1.2 144.9 55% 84–79 ✗
North Carolina A&T @ Campbell +5.8 133.2 74% 63–64 ✓
Lipscomb @ North Alabama +1.4 144.8 52% 75–72 ✗
South Alabama @ App State -0.6 130.5 49% 51–69 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Northern Illinois -0.3 143.6 47% 78–75 ✓
Norfolk State @ Coppin State -3.7 141.6 32% 89–59 ✓
Georgetown @ Villanova +17.8 150.0 91% 66–74 ✓
Texas Southern @ Mississippi Valley State -12.5 143.6 14% 79–59 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Incarnate Word -4.9 150.2 33% 84–92 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Belmont +18.6 146.4 90% 62–73 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Austin Peay +0.7 141.4 49% 73–69 ✗
McNeese @ LSU New Orleans +5.6 153.5 73% 75–88 ✓
Virginia @ Miami +4.0 131.7 62% 74–71 ✗
Binghamton @ UMass Lowell +4.3 138.7 64% 78–64 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ North Florida +0.4 153.9 54% 64–70 ✓
Little Rock @ Texas State +11.5 137.7 88% 50–68 ✓
Western Illinois @ South Dakota +3.8 156.0 70% 65–78 ✓
Ball State @ Bowling Green +3.0 164.7 66% 91–82 ✗
South Carolina Upstate @ Charleston Southern -4.4 145.3 27% 78–73 ✓
Hartford @ Stony Brook +5.1 152.0 72% 82–88 ✓
Florida State @ Duke +13.0 145.7 88% 70–88 ✓
Utah @ California +1.3 138.8 55% 60–58 ✗
Northwestern State @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +8.0 156.3 83% 76–83 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Brown +1.6 142.4 56% 89–88 ✗
Kennesaw State @ Jacksonville +5.9 131.7 73% 56–59 ✓
Drake @ Loyola Chicago +8.2 138.1 81% 83–76 ✗
Rhode Island @ George Washington -2.6 137.1 37% 61–72 ✗
Duquesne @ St. Bonaventure +13.0 138.6 88% 55–81 ✓
Texas A&M @ Vanderbilt +2.8 139.2 59% 67–72 ✓
Utah State @ Boise State +6.4 141.2 78% 57–68 ✓
Prairie View A&M @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff -4.3 149.4 28% 92–84 ✓
Grambling @ Southern +9.4 141.3 84% 61–57 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Idaho -3.6 157.5 32% 80–83 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.