Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +9 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | MRST -1.9 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (-19.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -0.6 (-8.4) | 137.1 (-22.1) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -0.2 (-8.8) | 136.0 (-21.0) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -0.4 (-8.6) | 136.5 (-21.5) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -0.9 (-8.1) | 137.3 (-22.3) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SIE 67 – 63 MRST |
| Jan 23, 2026 | SIE 69 – 50 MRST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | MRST 65 – 64 SIE |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MRST 72 – 67 SIE |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MRST 67 – 51 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-14 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-11 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#256) | -0.3 (#169) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#180) | -0.61 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#212) | -0.50 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#176) | 0.475 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.