Betting Lines
| Spread | CAN -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIA +11 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | NIA -1.0 (-10.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.6 (-15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIA -0.0 (-11.0) | 138.6 (-19.6) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -0.1 (-10.9) | 139.2 (-20.2) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NIA -0.5 (-10.5) | 141.3 (-22.3) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAN -0.1 (-11.1) | 141.0 (-22.0) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | NIA 65 – 56 CAN |
| Jan 15, 2026 | NIA 59 – 54 CAN |
| Feb 12, 2025 | NIA 71 – 60 CAN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | NIA 64 – 63 CAN |
| Feb 24, 2024 | CAN 69 – 59 NIA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 9-11 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-4 |
| Away | 1-15 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 66.0 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#268) | -2.1 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#270) | -0.51 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#285) | -0.74 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#248) | 0.484 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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