Betting Lines
| Spread | NIA -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | NIA -500 CAN +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIA +11 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | NIA -10.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIA -8.0 (+3.0) | 136.1 (-5.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIA -7.9 (+3.1) | 135.3 (-4.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -9.2 (+1.8) | 138.3 (-7.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NIA -8.7 (+2.3) | 139.0 (-8.0) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | NIA 65 – 56 CAN |
| Jan 15, 2026 | NIA 59 – 54 CAN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | NIA 64 – 63 CAN |
| Feb 24, 2024 | CAN 69 – 59 NIA |
| Feb 7, 2024 | NIA 69 – 64 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 3-28 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 3-17 |
| Home | 6-7 | 1-12 |
| Away | 3-13 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 78.6 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#305) | -16.0 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#299) | -2.94 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.18 (#318) | -3.31 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#295) | 0.398 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 25.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 5.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 18.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 57.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.