Betting Lines
| Spread | NIA -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | NIA -142 CAN +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIA +9 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | NIA -3.0 (+6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIA -1.2 (+7.8) | 126.4 (-5.4) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIA -1.6 (+7.4) | 126.5 (-5.5) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -0.7 (+8.3) | 124.3 (-3.3) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NIA -1.4 (+7.6) | 126.1 (-5.1) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | NIA 59 – 54 CAN |
| Feb 12, 2025 | NIA 71 – 60 CAN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | NIA 64 – 63 CAN |
| Feb 24, 2024 | CAN 69 – 59 NIA |
| Feb 7, 2024 | NIA 69 – 64 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-22 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 5-15 |
| Home | 6-7 | 7-8 |
| Away | 2-14 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.3 | 62.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -14.2 (#349) | -14.2 (#348) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.50 (#347) | -1.72 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.17 (#346) | -2.25 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#340) | 0.427 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 28.7 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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