Betting Lines
| Spread | CAN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | CAN -142 NIA +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIA +5 | 113 | Lost |
| Massey | CAN -5.8 (-10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.7 (-11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAN -4.3 (-9.3) | 129.9 (-16.9) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAN -3.8 (-8.8) | 130.3 (-17.3) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAN -4.5 (-9.5) | 131.3 (-18.3) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CAN -4.6 (-9.6) | 134.7 (-21.7) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | NIA 65 – 56 CAN |
| Feb 12, 2025 | NIA 71 – 60 CAN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | NIA 64 – 63 CAN |
| Feb 24, 2024 | CAN 69 – 59 NIA |
| Feb 7, 2024 | NIA 69 – 64 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 5-15 |
| Home | 7-8 | 6-7 |
| Away | 3-13 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.2 | 63.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -13.7 (#344) | -16.0 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#240) | -2.77 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#256) | -3.57 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#220) | 0.378 (#347) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 27.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 29.7% |
Game Analysis
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