Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MVSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +20 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | TXSO -15.7 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.3 (-8.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -12.4 (-7.6) | 146.1 (-8.1) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -13.5 (-6.5) | 144.3 (-6.3) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -12.5 (-7.5) | 143.6 (-5.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -13.1 (-6.9) | 143.3 (-5.3) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | MVSU 72 – 71 TXSO |
| Jan 13, 2026 | TXSO 84 – 51 MVSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | TXSO 79 – 38 MVSU |
| Jan 14, 2025 | TXSO 82 – 53 MVSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | TXSO 73 – 52 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MVSU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-26 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 13-5 |
| Home | 0-11 | 7-2 |
| Away | 2-15 | 8-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.0 | 66.1 |
| Massey | -19.6 (#357) | -1.1 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.75 (#356) | -0.51 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.38 (#356) | -0.57 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.351 (#355) | 0.479 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MVSU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.3% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.2% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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