Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | TXSO -1100 MVSU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +33 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -11.9 (+21.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (-15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -9.9 (+23.1) | 144.0 (-9.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -10.2 (+22.8) | 144.7 (-9.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -9.3 (+23.7) | 140.8 (-5.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -9.1 (+23.9) | 144.3 (-9.3) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | MVSU 72 – 71 TXSO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | TXSO 79 – 38 MVSU |
| Jan 14, 2025 | TXSO 82 – 53 MVSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | TXSO 73 – 52 MVSU |
| Jan 15, 2024 | TXSO 93 – 61 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 3-30 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 2-16 |
| Home | 9-5 | 2-9 |
| Away | 3-12 | 1-18 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.0 | 83.7 |
| Massey | -15.8 (#352) | -24.2 (#364) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.79 (#360) | -4.80 (#365) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.19 (#361) | -6.87 (#365) |
| RPI | 0.390 (#342) | 0.352 (#360) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 28.5% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.58 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 24.1% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.3% | 57.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.3% | 37.2% |
Game Analysis
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