Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | TXSO -2500 MVSU +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +32 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -17.9 (+14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.5 (+33.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -13.9 (+18.1) | 129.1 (+24.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -14.1 (+17.9) | 129.7 (+24.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -13.3 (+18.7) | 125.9 (+28.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -12.3 (+19.7) | 126.3 (+27.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | MVSU 72 – 71 TXSO |
| Jan 13, 2026 | TXSO 84 – 51 MVSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | TXSO 79 – 38 MVSU |
| Jan 14, 2025 | TXSO 82 – 53 MVSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | TXSO 73 – 52 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 1-30 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 1-17 |
| Home | 7-4 | 1-8 |
| Away | 6-11 | 0-22 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 55.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#312) | -22.9 (#363) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.83 (#322) | -4.09 (#361) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.25 (#342) | -5.87 (#363) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#266) | 0.405 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.6% | 37.8% |
| 3PT% | 26.2% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 27.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.3% | 41.2% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 26.5% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 58.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 62.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 26.9% |
Game Analysis
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