Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -23.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | TXSO -20000 MVSU +3000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +41 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -25.7 (+15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.5 (-18.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -26.0 (+15.0) | 133.2 (-16.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -20.6 (+20.4) | 135.7 (-18.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -20.5 (+20.5) | 133.0 (-16.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -22.9 (+18.1) | 133.4 (-16.4) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | MVSU 72 – 71 TXSO |
| Jan 13, 2026 | TXSO 84 – 51 MVSU |
| Jan 14, 2025 | TXSO 82 – 53 MVSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | TXSO 73 – 52 MVSU |
| Jan 15, 2024 | TXSO 93 – 61 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 3-28 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 1-17 |
| Home | 9-4 | 2-9 |
| Away | 6-12 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L9 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 52.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 82.3 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#302) | -31.1 (#364) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#321) | -4.66 (#363) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.78 (#298) | -6.06 (#363) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#309) | 0.367 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 26.7% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 27.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 41.4% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 24.8% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 58.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 64.4% | 60.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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