Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | MVSU +1100 TXSO -2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MVSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +29 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | TXSO -14.8 (-14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -13.6 (-15.4) | 135.3 (-0.3) | 11% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -13.2 (-15.8) | 136.6 (-1.6) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -12.3 (-16.7) | 136.4 (-1.4) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -12.4 (-16.6) | 133.5 (+1.5) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | MVSU 72 – 71 TXSO |
| Jan 13, 2026 | TXSO 84 – 51 MVSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | TXSO 79 – 38 MVSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | TXSO 73 – 52 MVSU |
| Jan 15, 2024 | TXSO 93 – 61 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MVSU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-28 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 12-6 |
| Home | 2-9 | 9-4 |
| Away | 1-19 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L9 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 52.4 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.3 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -28.9 (#364) | -10.2 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.25 (#364) | -2.86 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.87 (#364) | -3.95 (#357) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#338) | 0.394 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MVSU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 35.8% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 25.4% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 25.5 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.43 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 39.4% | 43.2% |
| TOV% | 24.7% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 61.1% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 58.1% | 63.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.