Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | MVSU +850 TXSO -1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MVSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +21 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | TXSO -14.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -12.6 (-8.4) | 129.0 (-4.0) | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -13.6 (-7.4) | 130.5 (-5.5) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -12.8 (-8.2) | 129.0 (-4.0) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -12.3 (-8.7) | 127.2 (-2.2) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | MVSU 72 – 71 TXSO |
| Jan 13, 2026 | TXSO 84 – 51 MVSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | TXSO 79 – 38 MVSU |
| Jan 14, 2025 | TXSO 82 – 53 MVSU |
| Jan 15, 2024 | TXSO 93 – 61 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MVSU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1-30 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 12-6 |
| Home | 1-8 | 7-4 |
| Away | 0-22 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 55.5 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 71.1 |
| Massey | -24.3 (#363) | -7.0 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.98 (#363) | -0.87 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.46 (#363) | -1.18 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.360 (#361) | 0.468 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MVSU | TXSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.3% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.4% | 29.5% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.50 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.2% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 24.8% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 63.8% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.9% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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