Betting Lines
| Spread | BRWN -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
| Money | BRWN -130 PENN +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +1 | 177 | Lost |
| Massey | BRWN -3.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+35.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRWN -1.5 (-2.5) | 138.9 (+38.1) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRWN -1.6 (-2.6) | 141.9 (+35.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRWN -1.6 (-2.6) | 142.4 (+34.6) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRWN -1.5 (-2.5) | 143.0 (+34.0) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | PENN 82 – 61 BRWN |
| Jan 10, 2026 | PENN 81 – 73 BRWN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BRWN 82 – 72 PENN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | BRWN 88 – 79 PENN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | BRWN 71 – 64 PENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-16 | 12-16 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 9-5 |
| Home | 6-7 | 6-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#186) | -1.2 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#215) | -0.06 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#217) | -0.00 (#176) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#195) | 0.507 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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