Betting Lines
| Spread | SFPA -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFPA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFBK +8 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | SFPA -1.2 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (+14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFPA -0.8 (-8.8) | 136.7 (+15.3) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFPA -0.2 (-8.2) | 137.0 (+15.0) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFBK -0.4 (-7.6) | 139.5 (+12.5) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFPA -0.2 (-8.2) | 136.7 (+15.3) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2023 | SFPA 72 – 64 SFBK |
| Jan 21, 2023 | SFPA 87 – 61 SFBK |
| Jan 7, 2022 | SFBK 70 – 53 SFPA |
| Feb 12, 2021 | SFPA 80 – 66 SFBK |
| Feb 12, 2021 | SFBK 70 – 67 SFPA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFPA | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 4-8 | 3-9 |
| Away | 5-13 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -10.4 (#323) | -8.7 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.35 (#339) | -2.29 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.59 (#330) | -2.73 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.405 (#330) | 0.408 (#326) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFPA | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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