Betting Lines
| Spread | PV -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAPB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PV +8 | 176 | Lost |
| Massey | PV -5.4 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (+24.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PV -5.7 (-2.3) | 144.2 (+31.8) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PV -3.9 (-4.1) | 144.8 (+31.2) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PV -4.3 (-3.7) | 149.4 (+26.6) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PV -4.7 (-3.3) | 146.9 (+29.1) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | UAPB 84 – 82 PV |
| Jan 13, 2026 | PV 73 – 61 UAPB |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UAPB 75 – 64 PV |
| Jan 13, 2025 | PV 75 – 64 UAPB |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UAPB 72 – 59 PV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAPB | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-24 | 8-19 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 8-10 |
| Home | 5-7 | 5-4 |
| Away | 2-17 | 3-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.3 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -16.4 (#355) | -8.1 (#298) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.83 (#348) | -1.72 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.56 (#350) | -1.85 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#334) | 0.431 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAPB | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.1% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 28.5 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 24.1% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 63.2% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 31.7% |
Game Analysis
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