Betting Lines
| Spread | PV -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 167.5 Under |
| Money | UAPB +125 PV -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAPB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PV +11 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | PV -8.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 180.8 (-41.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PV -8.8 (-2.2) | 155.9 (-16.9) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PV -5.7 (-5.3) | 152.5 (-13.5) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PV -6.7 (-4.3) | 158.7 (-19.7) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PV -7.0 (-4.0) | 158.0 (-19.0) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | UAPB 84 – 82 PV |
| Jan 13, 2026 | PV 73 – 61 UAPB |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UAPB 75 – 64 PV |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UAPB 72 – 59 PV |
| Feb 6, 2024 | PV 75 – 74 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAPB | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-25 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 4-14 |
| Home | 4-8 | 3-7 |
| Away | 2-17 | 2-19 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.7 | 82.2 |
| Massey | -22.7 (#363) | -10.8 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.46 (#359) | -2.61 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.43 (#361) | -3.45 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.340 (#362) | 0.412 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAPB | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 26.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 60.9% | 59.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 59.6% | 58.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 31.3% |
Game Analysis
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