Betting Lines
| Spread | UAPB -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
| Money | UAPB -162 PV +136 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAPB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAPB +2 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | UAPB -2.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAPB -2.2 (-0.2) | 158.4 (+7.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAPB -3.2 (-1.2) | 156.2 (+9.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAPB -2.6 (-0.6) | 153.9 (+12.1) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAPB -2.9 (-0.9) | 155.7 (+10.3) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2026 | PV 73 – 61 UAPB |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UAPB 75 – 64 PV |
| Jan 13, 2025 | PV 75 – 64 UAPB |
| Feb 24, 2024 | UAPB 72 – 59 PV |
| Feb 6, 2024 | PV 75 – 74 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAPB | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 19-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-4 | 10-3 |
| Away | 6-14 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.9 | 78.9 |
| Massey | -12.5 (#333) | -12.5 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#274) | -1.98 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#301) | -2.46 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#249) | 0.411 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAPB | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 33.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 63.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.4% | 33.9% |
Game Analysis
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