Betting Lines
| Spread | UAPB -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | UAPB -138 PV +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAPB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAPB +13 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | UAPB -1.2 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.0 (-31.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAPB -0.9 (+12.1) | 152.7 (-21.7) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAPB -0.2 (+12.8) | 150.9 (-19.9) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UAPB -0.2 (+12.8) | 151.2 (-20.2) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PV -0.2 (+13.2) | 154.1 (-23.1) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | UAPB 84 – 82 PV |
| Jan 13, 2026 | PV 73 – 61 UAPB |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UAPB 75 – 64 PV |
| Jan 13, 2025 | PV 75 – 64 UAPB |
| Feb 6, 2024 | PV 75 – 74 UAPB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UAPB | PV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-6 | 5-6 |
| Away | 5-12 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.7 | 77.3 |
| Massey | -12.8 (#339) | -10.7 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#318) | -1.20 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.38 (#331) | -1.63 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#311) | 0.434 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UAPB | PV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 31.5% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 33.8% |
Game Analysis
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