Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +13 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -1.8 (-14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.9 (-21.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -4.0 (-17.0) | 151.9 (-14.9) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -4.4 (-17.4) | 157.6 (-20.6) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -3.9 (-16.9) | 156.7 (-19.7) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -3.2 (-16.2) | 153.6 (-16.6) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | OSU 72 – 69 IOWA |
| Feb 26, 2026 | IOWA 74 – 57 OSU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | IOWA 77 – 70 OSU |
| Jan 28, 2025 | OSU 82 – 65 IOWA |
| Mar 14, 2024 | OSU 90 – 78 IOWA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 26-10 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 15-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 83.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 13.7 (#20) | 14.8 (#18) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.66 (#21) | 1.91 (#47) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.38 (#19) | 2.48 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.617 (#19) | 0.564 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 12.4% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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