Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | OSU -105 IOWA -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OSU +3 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -0.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -0.8 (+3.8) | 139.0 (+2.0) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -0.3 (+2.7) | 136.5 (+4.5) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -0.5 (+2.5) | 140.0 (+1.0) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -0.2 (+2.8) | 140.9 (+0.1) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | IOWA 74 – 57 OSU |
| Mar 12, 2025 | IOWA 77 – 70 OSU |
| Jan 28, 2025 | OSU 82 – 65 IOWA |
| Mar 14, 2024 | OSU 90 – 78 IOWA |
| Feb 3, 2024 | IOWA 79 – 77 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 15-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.3 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 15.7 (#31) | 16.2 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#34) | 2.32 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.23 (#32) | 3.10 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.576 (#46) | 0.568 (#59) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.8% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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