Betting Lines
| Spread | OSU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | OSU -225 IOWA +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +7 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | OSU -5.2 (-12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.3 (-15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -4.4 (-11.4) | 157.6 (-10.6) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -3.8 (-10.8) | 155.2 (-8.2) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -4.1 (-11.1) | 156.4 (-9.4) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -3.9 (-10.9) | 156.1 (-9.1) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | OSU 72 – 69 IOWA |
| Feb 26, 2026 | IOWA 74 – 57 OSU |
| Jan 28, 2025 | OSU 82 – 65 IOWA |
| Mar 14, 2024 | OSU 90 – 78 IOWA |
| Feb 3, 2024 | IOWA 79 – 77 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OSU | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 7-13 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 82.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 79.7 |
| Massey | 14.9 (#31) | 9.7 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#50) | 1.45 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.86 (#40) | 2.09 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#73) | 0.523 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OSU | IOWA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.4% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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